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Expect David Davis to shock many.

Posted by: therep | August 1, 2006 02:04 PM

Expect Ed Bryant to shock everyone.

Posted by: Patrick Hamilton | August 1, 2006 03:30 PM

Expect therep to become theformerrep

Posted by: The Kid | August 1, 2006 09:19 PM

Expect Van Hilleary to shock everyone!!

Posted by: TDH | August 2, 2006 07:01 AM

Van Hilleary couldn't shock a cow with a cattle prod.

Posted by: Anon. | August 2, 2006 08:10 AM

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Analysis for August 01, 2006

Analysis: Early Voting in Conclusion

Rob Huddleston has updated early voting numbers through the end of the early voting period. He posts 2002 numbers on his blog, but I am unsure where he gathered his information about 2002, because the numbers on his blog are different than those posted on this PDF report from the Secretary of State's office. I use the Secretary of State's 2002 numbers for the purpose of analysis.

2002 2006 Diff % Diff
Anderson    7,391 6,779 -612 -8%
Blount    3,044 3,861 817 27%
Coffee    3,992 3,464 -528 -13%
Davidson  20,967 20,182 -785 -4%
Greene    4,179 3,770 -409 -10%
Hamilton  10,350 16,136 5,786 56%
Hawkins    3,364 4,185 821 24%
Knox  25,190 23,936 -1,254 -5%
Madison    8,486 8,956 470 6%
Maury    6,135 7,154 1,019 17%
Rhea    2,744 3,464 720 26%
Roane    5,869 6,534 665 11%
Rutherford    9,116 9,447 331 4%
Sevier    2,357 3,308 951 40%
Shelby  70,183 78,899 8,716 12%
Sullivan    5,808 8,310 2,502 43%
Washington    4,895 6,009 1,114 23%
Williamson    7,424 4,089 -3,335 -45%

Note the increases in particular in Hamilton and Sullivan County. The implications of Hamilton County's increase need no further explanation - other than what has been mentioned before. Sullivan County is the home of an exciting 1st District Congressional primary. Frontrunner Richard Venable, former Sullivan Co. Mayor, has probably received the benefit of increased turnout in his home county. Don't discount Larry Waters, the other County Mayor in the race, though. Sevier County, his home, has also registered increases in early voting. As much was made of the Shelby County increases, as you can see - comparatively they are marginal. Also note-worthy is the 5% decline in Knox Co., which is probably not good news for Bob Corker.

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